Tag: White Women Voters

Suburban White Women Weigh Their Options In A ‘Bizarre’ Election

Posted on October 4, 2016October 5, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Farai Chideya, FiveThirtyEight – October 4, 2016

Suburban women are a crucial demographic group in any presidential election, but they have been particularly sought after by Democrats this yearwho hope to capitalize on Trump’s unpopularity among women, especially those with a college education. According to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal national poll (taken in mid-September, before the first debate), Hillary Clinton is winning a plurality of suburban women, 43 percent to Trump’s 34 percent. While Mitt Romney was viewed negatively by 42 percent of suburban women in 2012, Trump is seen in a negative light by 60 percent to 70 percent of suburban women this year.

Trump has a Challenge with White Women: ‘You Just Want to Smack Him’

Posted on October 1, 2016October 4, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Philip Rucker, Washington Post – October 1, 2016

With just five weeks of campaigning left, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are scrambling to win over female voters in America’s suburbs as well-educated white women have emerged as perhaps the presidential campaign’s most pivotal swing voting group.

Clinton-Trump Race Narrows on the Doorstep of the Debates

Posted on September 25, 2016September 26, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Gary Langer, ABC News – September 25, 2016

The race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump has narrowed to essentially a dead heat nationally in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, raising the stakes dramatically for the first presidential debate Monday night.

The Trump Bloc

Posted on September 14, 2016September 24, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Andrew McGill, The Atlantic – September 14, 2016

Remember “Soccer Moms?” They were all the rage in 1996, representing the slender slice of the suburban electorate Bill Clinton supposedly needed to win over to keep the presidency. Like the Macarena, the Soccer Mom turns 20 this year, but she doesn’t have the clout she once did. Now popular is the “White Working Class,” a catch-all label for a group of voters whose fears and anxieties have defined the 2016 campaign, or at least dominated media coverage.

White Women in Charlotte Suburbs Were Reliably Republican. Then Came Trump.

Posted on September 4, 2016September 5, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Tim Funk, Charlotte Observer – September 4, 2016

If Republican Trump expects to carry swing states such as North Carolina, he’ll need voters like Roberts – white suburban women who have a history of voting for GOP candidates. Four years ago, then-Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney won the national white female vote by 14 points, according to exit polls. A Quinnipiac University poll released last month found that Clinton was ahead, 49 percent to 46 percent, with white women likely to vote.

The Demographic and Support Shifts at the Core of Donald Trump’s Electoral Problem

Posted on August 29, 2016August 30, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Philip Bump, Washington Post – August 29, 2016

The divergence between white men without degrees and white women with degrees is more obvious here, plotting three dimensions of information: percent of the electorate (circle size) versus year of election and margin of support. Note how big the red and purple outlined circles were in 1980 relative to 2012. That’s the decline in the density of the white vote without degrees.

Donald Trump isn’t Doing Terrible with Women in this Poll

Posted on August 23, 2016August 24, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Bob Jordan, Asbury Park News – August 23, 2016

Monmouth University’s polling on the presidential race has found Donald Trump doing better with men than women in most states. But in Missouri, his gender gap is reversed. Monmouth’s poll of Missouri voters likely to cast ballots in November’s presidential election shows the Republican presidential nominee holding a 1-point lead over Democrat Hillary Clinton. Surprisingly, Trump is currently doing better among white women (54% to 36%) in Missouri than he is among white men (45% to 37%).

If Donald Trump Wants to Win in November, this is the Group he Needs to Worry About the Most

Posted on August 18, 2016August 19, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Philip Bump, Washington Post – August 18, 2016

White Republican women with college degrees view Trump much more negatively than do white men without. In our most recent poll, a third of white Republican women with degrees viewed Trump negatively compared with 18 percent of men without degrees. Nearly 1 in 5 Republican women with degrees view Trump strongly negatively.

Gender, Education Split Among White Voters Key to 2016 Election

Posted on August 16, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

Gregory Holyk, ABC News – August 16, 2016

A potentially record-breaking gap in preference between two groups — college-educated white women for Hillary Clinton and non-college-educated white men for Donald Trump — is one of the most striking features of in the 2016 presidential race.

Educated White Women Could Trigger a Decisive Trump Defeat

Posted on August 16, 2016August 16, 2016 by Kelly Dittmar

William H. Frey, Brookings Institution – August 16, 2016

Much has been written about white working-class men this political cycle because they represent the voting base on which Republican candidate Donald Trump largely depends. Yet recent polling suggests that another demographic segment – white college-educated women – could be his Achilles heel. I have calculated just how many votes it would cost him if white college-educated women vote the way they have stated they will in recent polls. If the polls are accurate, even a supersized turnout of working-class white men would not be nearly enough for Trump to win the election.

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