Clinton’s Coalition: Hispanic Support Appears To Be Up, Black Turnout Down

David Wasserman, FiveThirtyEight – October 31, 2016

The FBI may have injected last-minute uncertainty into the presidential race, but with eight days to go, the contours of Hillary Clinton’s coalition are coming into sharper focus. It’s not yet clear whether it will match the breadth of President Obama’s coalition, which was sufficient for a majority in both 2008 and 2012. But even if it doesn’t, it could be sufficient for a plurality.

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