Category: News Tracking

Married Couples More Politically Split this Election, Thanks to Donald Trump

Molly Redden, The Guardian – September 4, 2016

In the online poll of 1,249 adults who have been in a relationship since at least 2012, polling firm Ipsos Public Affairs asked whether spouses’ political leanings had diverged in the last four years. While only one in 10 people supporting Hillary Clinton thought their spouses would vote another way, one in five supporting Trump expect their spouses to vote for someone else. Among men and women who supported Trump or Clinton, men voting for Trump were the least confident that their spouses would do the same.

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Why an Emblematic American City has Turned to Trump

Timothy Aeppel, Reuters – August 30, 3016

For this group of mostly white, working-class men, the last two decades have brought much loss. In this election – with the victory of the populist Donald Trump as the Republican Party nominee and the strong run by the populist Bernie Sanders for the Democratic Party crown – many say they feel they’re finally being heard again.

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The Demographic and Support Shifts at the Core of Donald Trump’s Electoral Problem

Philip Bump, Washington Post – August 29, 2016

The divergence between white men without degrees and white women with degrees is more obvious here, plotting three dimensions of information: percent of the electorate (circle size) versus year of election and margin of support. Note how big the red and purple outlined circles were in 1980 relative to 2012. That’s the decline in the density of the white vote without degrees.

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Male Model Eric Turner Goes Shirtless for #HunksforHillary

I Agree to See – August 29, 2016

Male fitness model Eric Turner is trying to start a movement to help get Hillary Clinton elected – with the hashtag #HunksforHillary, which is accompanied with a shirtless picture. Turner teamed up with Miami-based photographer Abel Cruz to take the picture and start the hashtag.

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Gender, Education Split Among White Voters Key to 2016 Election

Gregory Holyk, ABC News – August 16, 2016

A potentially record-breaking gap in preference between two groups — college-educated white women for Hillary Clinton and non-college-educated white men for Donald Trump — is one of the most striking features of in the 2016 presidential race.

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Educated White Women Could Trigger a Decisive Trump Defeat

William H. Frey, Brookings Institution – August 16, 2016

Much has been written about white working-class men this political cycle because they represent the voting base on which Republican candidate Donald Trump largely depends. Yet recent polling suggests that another demographic segment – white college-educated women – could be his Achilles heel. I have calculated just how many votes it would cost him if white college-educated women vote the way they have stated they will in recent polls. If the polls are accurate, even a supersized turnout of working-class white men would not be nearly enough for Trump to win the election.

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In Both Parties, Men and Women Differ Over Whether Women Still Face Obstacles to Progress

Hannah Fingerhut, Pew – August 16, 2016

As Hillary Clinton seeks to become the first woman to win the presidency in U.S. history, the public is divided over whether women continue to face obstacles that make it more difficult for them to get ahead. Just over half of Americans (53%) say there are “still significant obstacles that make it harder for women to get ahead than men,” while somewhat fewer (45%) say “the obstacles that once made it harder for women than men to get ahead are now largely gone.”

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The Gender Gap and 2016: Americans Say it’s Still Tougher for Women in Politics

Kathy Frankovic, YouGov – August 8, 2016

The gender gap – the pattern of men and women differing in their vote intention – first became apparent in the election of 1980, when men were much more likely than women to vote for Republican Ronald Reagan, and women divided evenly between Reagan and then-President Jimmy Carter. The size of the gap has varied from election to election, and was at its highest in 2012. 2016 will be the first time that a presidential election will have a woman at the top of a party’s ticket. How big is the gap today?

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Meet The Millennial Men Who Love Hillary Clinton

Catherine Pearson, Huffington Post – August 5, 2016

Mike is a 25-year-old man from Seattle, Washington. He is also an unabashed fan of Hillary Clinton, and has been since the moment her 2016 presidential campaign kicked off. “It’s all about experience and preparation. Hillary has been involved in politics on a national level for decades,” Mike told The Huffington Post.  “I’m very enthusiastic,” he added. “I’m all in for Hillary.” It’s a sentiment you don’t hear a lot from young men, at least not in the media. Bernie had his “bros.” Trump has his. As for Hillary, well, she’s got women, the story goes ― and mostly older ones

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Trump Seems More the Result of a Shift Among White Men Than the Cause of It

Lynn Vavreck, New York Times – August 2, 2016

Many people believe that Donald Trump is about to remake the Republican PartyHis unconventional appeal among alienated working-class and middle-class Americans who are drawn to populism, nativism and protectionism — most of whom are white — has led to speculation that he is not just reshaping the party but possibly even expanding it. The party is changing, but data from this election and the previous two suggest that some of the changes have little to do with Mr. Trump expanding the party. Mr. Trump may instead be helping Hillary Clinton expand the Democratic Party, reshaping his own party by shrinking it.

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