The Demographic and Support Shifts at the Core of Donald Trump’s Electoral Problem

Philip Bump, Washington Post – August 29, 2016

The divergence between white men without degrees and white women with degrees is more obvious here, plotting three dimensions of information: percent of the electorate (circle size) versus year of election and margin of support. Note how big the red and purple outlined circles were in 1980 relative to 2012. That’s the decline in the density of the white vote without degrees.

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